Week 13 NFL Picks

My predicted winner in bold:

12/3: Jets at Buffalo: This isn't really even a home game for Buffalo, since they're playing at Toronto. TO will be covered by Darrell Reeves the whole game and shouldn't be expected to produce. It must be nice for CFL fans to not have to endure such a long football drought though.

12/6 Games:

Denver at KC: After watching what the Broncos did to my Giants, KC even putting up a fight is unforeseeable. Broncos easily beat the 4.5 point spread.

Pittsburgh at Oakland: There is one thing Oakland does well, and that's defend against the pass. The Steelers are 15th in the NFL in rushing YPG and overly dependent on the pass. Oakland sucks, but they will beat the overly generous 14.5 point spread.

Houston at Jacksonville: I have know what is going on with David Garrard. I drafted him as my backup QB in most leagues but he has just been playing like the football is coated in vaseline. Unless MJD goes absolutely nuts I don't see them doing much against Houston.

Indianapolis at Tennessee: No reason to believe the Colts unbeaten streak will end here.

Philadelphia at Atlanta: An Atlanta team without Michael Turner AND Matt Ryan isn't going to be doing too much against the Philadelphia D. Philly easily beats the spread.

New Orleans at Washington: Considering how badly the Redskins did during their streak of playing teams without a win, they probably won't fare much better against a team with 12 of them. In all fairness, the Redskins do have the top-rated pass defense in the NFL...too bad they can't do anything else. 45 minute game for Brees, Pierre Thomas, and the rest of the Saints' starters.

Tampa Bay at Carolina: It's amazing what rookie Josh Freeman has done so far. However, he's due for an implosion and I can see it coming against the Panthers, whose defense is ranked third in passing yards allowed, in a three-way tie for seventh in interceptions, and tied for 10th with elite defense like the Steelers and Ravens for passing TDs allowed. Furthermore, DeAngelo Williams always turns it on against the Bucs too, rushing for 152 yards against them in their first meeting, and in their two 2008 games he rushed for 213 yards while averaging 7.1 yards per carry.

St. Louis At Chicago: Jay Cutler has to have a good game at some point, right? Even if it's against the team with the 30th worst passing defense in the NFL it stills count. St. Louis will be his slumpbuster as the Bears beat the spread.

Detroit at Cincinnati: I won't be surprised if Cedric Benson and Larry Johnson get more yards than the entire Detroit offense combined.

San Diego at Cleveland: The only real question about this game is if the Chargers care about padding LT's stats enough to leave him on the field past halftime.

San Francisco at Seattle: Alex Smith is the real deal, coming off a career game, and going up against a banged up defense. 49ers roll.

Minnesota at Arizona. Warner will be sitting and Arizona doesn't play well at home.

Dallas at NY Giants: Do-or-die for the Giants and they know it. They'll find their rhythm as Jacobs rushes for 100+ yards, as he has done in two of the last three Cowboys-Giants meetings (and he rushed for 95 in the third).

New England at Miami: The Dolphins have been a big surprise and the Pats' defense has been pretty atrocious, which I guess justifies the 3.5 point spread and Belichick's hatred of his defensive unit. Regardless, I can't see Miami and their lack of a passing threat making this a close game.

12/7 MNF Game:

Baltimore at Green Bay: The Ravens don't play well on the road and Aaron Rodgers is a beast. A beast I tell you!